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Canada


Saint-Maurice—Champlain


Latest projection: April 21, 2024
LPC leaning hold
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Saint-Maurice—Champlain 34% ± 7% 31% ± 7% 25% ± 6% 6% ± 3% 4% ± 3%▲ LPC 2021 42.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Maurice—Champlain 71% 28% 1% Odds of winning | April 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Maurice—Champlain

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 6% ± 3% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 31% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Maurice—Champlain 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Saint-Maurice—Champlain

LPC 71% CPC 1% NDP <1% BQ 28% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Recent electoral history | Saint-Maurice—Champlain



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 39.6% 42.4% 34% ± 7% BQ 34.2% 30.1% 31% ± 7% CPC 16.3% 18.0% 25% ± 6% NDP 5.3% 5.1% 6% ± 3% GPC 3.1% 1.3% 4% ± 3% PPC 1.6% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.